2026 Drivers' Championship — Win Odds
Equal/random Monte Carlo over the remaining races. Fastest-lap and pole bonuses are excluded from the simulation.
| Driver | Win Odds | Status | Points | Max Avail |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kimi Antonelli | 64.3% | alive | 179 | 341 |
| George Russell | 20.1% | alive | 154 | 341 |
| Lewis Hamilton | 13.6% | alive | 147 | 341 |
| Charles Leclerc | 1.5% | alive | 108 | 341 |
| Lando Norris | 0.4% | alive | 97 | 341 |
| Oscar Piastri | 0.1% | alive | 82 | 341 |
| Max Verstappen | 0.0% | alive | 76 | 341 |
| Isack Hadjar | 0.0% | alive | 52 | 341 |
| Pierre Gasly | 0.0% | alive | 42 | 341 |
| Liam Lawson | 0.0% | alive | 39 | 341 |
| Arvid Lindblad | 0.0% | alive | 20 | 341 |
| Oliver Bearman | 0.0% | alive | 18 | 341 |
| Franco Colapinto | 0.0% | alive | 18 | 341 |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | 0.0% | alive | 6 | 341 |
| Carlos Sainz | 0.0% | alive | 6 | 341 |
| Alexander Albon | 0.0% | alive | 5 | 341 |
| Esteban Ocon | 0.0% | alive | 3 | 341 |
| Fernando Alonso | 0.0% | alive | 1 | 341 |
| Valtteri Bottas | 0.0% | alive | 0 | 341 |
| Nico Hulkenberg | 0.0% | alive | 0 | 341 |
| Sergio Perez | 0.0% | alive | 0 | 341 |
| Lance Stroll | 0.0% | alive | 0 | 341 |
Clinch scenarios appear when 5 or fewer races remain.