1978 Drivers' Championship — Win Odds
Equal/random Monte Carlo over the remaining races. Fastest-lap and pole bonuses are excluded from the simulation.
| Driver | Win Odds | Status | Points | Max Avail |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mario Andretti | 100.0% | clinched | 64 | 0 |
| Ronnie Peterson | 0.0% | eliminated | 51 | 0 |
| Carlos Reutemann | 0.0% | eliminated | 48 | 0 |
| Niki Lauda | 0.0% | eliminated | 44 | 0 |
| Patrick Depailler | 0.0% | eliminated | 34 | 0 |
| John Watson | 0.0% | eliminated | 25 | 0 |
| Jody Scheckter | 0.0% | eliminated | 24 | 0 |
| Jacques Laffite | 0.0% | eliminated | 19 | 0 |
| Gilles Villeneuve | 0.0% | eliminated | 17 | 0 |
| Emerson Fittipaldi | 0.0% | eliminated | 17 | 0 |
| Alan Jones | 0.0% | eliminated | 11 | 0 |
| Riccardo Patrese | 0.0% | eliminated | 11 | 0 |
| James Hunt | 0.0% | eliminated | 8 | 0 |
| Patrick Tambay | 0.0% | eliminated | 8 | 0 |
| Didier Pironi | 0.0% | eliminated | 7 | 0 |
| Clay Regazzoni | 0.0% | eliminated | 4 | 0 |
| Jean-Pierre Jabouille | 0.0% | eliminated | 3 | 0 |
| Hans-Joachim Stuck | 0.0% | eliminated | 2 | 0 |
| Vittorio Brambilla | 0.0% | eliminated | 1 | 0 |
| Hector Rebaque | 0.0% | eliminated | 1 | 0 |
| Derek Daly | 0.0% | eliminated | 1 | 0 |
| Jean-Pierre Jarier | 0.0% | eliminated | 0 | 0 |
| Rupert Keegan | 0.0% | eliminated | 0 | 0 |
| Lamberto Leoni | 0.0% | eliminated | 0 | 0 |
| Brett Lunger | 0.0% | eliminated | 0 | 0 |
| Jochen Mass | 0.0% | eliminated | 0 | 0 |
| Arturo Merzario | 0.0% | eliminated | 0 | 0 |
| Danny Ongais | 0.0% | eliminated | 0 | 0 |
| Eddie Cheever | 0.0% | eliminated | 0 | 0 |
| Keke Rosberg | 0.0% | eliminated | 0 | 0 |
| Rolf Stommelen | 0.0% | eliminated | 0 | 0 |
| Jacky Ickx | 0.0% | eliminated | 0 | 0 |
| René Arnoux | 0.0% | eliminated | 0 | 0 |
| Bruno Giacomelli | 0.0% | eliminated | 0 | 0 |
| Harald Ertl | 0.0% | eliminated | 0 | 0 |
| Nelson Piquet | 0.0% | eliminated | 0 | 0 |
| Michael Bleekemolen | 0.0% | eliminated | 0 | 0 |
| Bobby Rahal | 0.0% | eliminated | 0 | 0 |
The 1978 championship is complete.